未来发展空间太阳能的战略取向
David Dunlop
美国国家空间协会理事
发展空间太阳能的全球动向: 从空间获得清洁能源目标的实现,以及其要在国内国际两个市场获取商业地位,仍旧是几十年之后的事。根据国际宇航科学院关于太空太阳能2011年的报告(1),至少是20到30年以后的事。但是值得期望的是,中国和日本都将空间太阳能的发展作为其战略发展目标 ,印度前总统Dr. Abdul Kalam也作为一个空间太阳能发展的推动支持者,在印度大力推进其发展。国家太空社会强烈拥护关于发展空间太阳能国际合作的议程。我们非常尊重倡议的全球合作Dr. Abdul Kalam,并且十分荣幸能与他工作。我们高度重视并十分感谢邀请我们的中国领导人以及中国能源环境高峰论坛。我们也支持林博士的呼吁全球智囊团在SBSP技术做出的贡献,同时我们也赞赏我们的加拿大同事,感谢他们在在加拿大以及全世界支持空间太阳能开发。我们也很高兴看到国际宇航科学院去年3月,在欧洲航天局的支持下,在法国巴黎组成一个研究空间太阳能开发工作小组。成立一个国际工作组,是扩大国际利益和支持空间太阳能发展的是另一个重要举措,同时我们希望世界上主要的空间能源发展引领者参与这个工作小组,或是派他们的代表参与国际宇航大会,这些行为将作为方表明领导者位置的另一种方式,同时,这样也可以鼓励那些并不是空间能源发展主导力量的国家来了解这种技术的潜在好处。
能源研究协作的历史范例 :许多技术领先的国家,在投资合作发展的商业融合研究来确保清洁能源方面,已经有几十年的经验,这也是我们应该继续追求的。(3)这也是一个来判断一个“可行的”水平的合作投资模型。我相信在今天大家都有一个共识,与当前的能源技术条件下,我们不能维持我们的经济、我们的人口,或我们的星球的运转,更别说在没有理解和空间利用的资源基础上,满足我们人类持续增长的需求。这是那些为了全球文明的可持续发展,研究能源发展和环境可持续的专业人士思维的一个根本性转变。我在这方面提供的有关合作开发的空间太阳能建议,只有空间发展主导力量的国家能负担得起。空间太阳能的原型开发的首次应用可以与抢险救灾联系起来。也许正是基于也许是人类灾难的共同点,我们可以找到一个稳定的理由,由大国合作来做这个长期的投资。
The Politics of Creating the Future
of Space Based Solar Power
David Dunlop
National Space Society for CEES 2012
A Developing Global Movement Towards Space Based Solar Power:The common goal of obtaining clean energy from space is still decades away from a beginning commercial position in both international markets and domestic markets. Twenty to thirty years away according to the recent 2011 International Academy of Astronautics report on Space Solar Power (1). It is also hopeful that Both China and Japan has also identified space solar power development as a strategic objective, and that former President Dr. Abdul Kalam of India is a strong advocate for its support in India and as a global development initiative. The National Space Society strongly embraces the agenda of international cooperation in the development of space solar power. We have embraced the Kalam Initiative of Global cooperation. and have pledged to work withhim. We highly value the welcome we have received by the CEEC, and Chinese leaders. We also endorse Dr. Lin Zhiqin's call for a Global Think Tank on SBSP. We are also appreciative of our Canadian colleagues in Space Canada who also support the goal of space solar power development in their country as well as internationally. We are also pleased to see the International Academy of Astronautics form a working group on space solar power development last March in Paris France with encouragement from the European Space Agency.(2) The formation of an international working group is another significant step toward broadening international interest and support for space solar power and we would hope that all of the world's major space faring powers participate in this working group and that their representatives participate in the International Astronautical Conference as another way to express a leadership position and to encourage nations that are not space faring powers to learn about the potential benefits of this technology.
The Historical Precedents of Cooperation in Energy Research:The technologically leading countries have for decades cooperated in investments in the development of commercial fusion research which promises abundant clean energy and which we should continue to pursue. (3) It is also a model for judging a “feasible” level of cooperative investment. I believe that there is a shared consensus today that with the current energy technologies we cannot sustain our economies, our populations, or our planet, much less meet the demands of continuing growth without the understanding and the use of space based resources. This is a fundamental change in the thinking of those who have studied the issues of energy development and environmental requirements for a sustainable global civilization.
I offer a suggestion in this regard for the cooperative development of space solar power that only the large space faring nations can afford. The prototype development of initial space solar power be connected with its first use and with demonstrations in disaster relief. Perhaps it is the common ground of human disaster where we can find a stable justification for the great powers to cooperate in this long term investment. It is also a potential bridge to gaining the support of lesser developed nations who at least initially are unable to participate in the capital costs and research and development but who can nevertheless become positively engaged in this program.First, we have an early precedent for cooperative international use of space based assets for disaster relief in the UN SPIDER PROGRAM. (6) Second, reluctance to let “foreign powers” interfere with the vital internal interests of national energy systems may be lowest at the very time such internal supplies and systems may have been disrupted by natural disasters and when millions are suddenly at peril. Thirdly, a benign source of supply with no environmental damages associated with it would be more likely to be welcomed and wanted under the circumstances of internal disaster and emergency conditions. Fourth, a program of benign assistance and cooperation in mobilizing limited and initially costly demonstrations of sp ace solar power to ongoing disasters may provide growing understanding, acceptance, and integration of this promising technology into national energy plans. Fifth, the development of common global technical standards which are applied to globally random disaster sites will open the pathway to development of integrated standards for global SBSP clean energy supplies. A human and moral use of early space solar power technology demonstration in disaster relief is a powerful diplomatic message from the powerful space faring powers to those most in need and without the economic and electrical power systems to help themselves.